2016 Fantasy Football Bold Predictions

Going skydiving. asking for a raise on the first day of a job. Predicting Marshawn Lynch to finish outside the top ten running backs in 2015. These are all examples of being bold. Whenever I write this article I know by the end of the season, I’ll look pretty stupid with some of these predictions. Last year I said that Brandin Cooks would finish as a top five WR (finished 12th), I said that Antonio Brown would finish outside the top five (finished first) and that Jeremy Hill would finish inside the top five (finished 14th). On the other end of the spectrum, I did predict Lamar Miller‘s top 5 finish, and that Allen Robinson and Doug Martin were sleepers. So while this article does pose some risk prediction wise, I can guarantee that at least on of these points will come true.


Rookie Michael Thomas finishes the season as a top 20 Wide Receiver:

After the Saints drafted Thomas with the 47th overall pick in April, it was clear he had the potential to make an impact immediately. Thomas dazzled scouts with his hands and ability after the catch at Ohio State. As a 6’3 212 lb WR, he is a much bigger target than other New Orleans WRs like  Willie Snead (5’11) and Brandin Cooks (5’10). Due to his elite size and above average speed (4.54 40 yard dash) quarterback Drew Brees could look to him in the red zone. Brees threw for the least amount of red zone touchdowns over his past five years in 2015, most likely as a result of his top two receivers being under 6’0.

Thomas has also excelled during the preseason. He came down with multiple diving catches during practice and adjusted very well to a 23-yard pass against the Patriots. The Ohio State alum’s ADP among WRs on Fantasypros.com is 55.3, yet he is my 38th ranked WR. Thomas has great value, and drafting him would be very wise.


Lamar Miller ends the season as the top Running Back in standard scoring:

How many players have started every game over the past three years and also averaged over 4.5 YPC each year? One. Which running back is this? Lamar Miller.

Miller had the 15th and 18th most carries in the NFL in 2014 and 2015. Even with minimal rushing attempts, he finished as the 9th and 4th highest scoring RB in standard scoring leagues.

His situation in Houston this year is one of the best throughout the entire NFL. When Arian Foster started and finished a game in 2015, he averaged just under 19 carries a game. If Miller is on par in 2016 with his 4.81 YPC average over the past two years he would be on pace for 1,462 rushing yards with Foster’s  workload.

Lamar Miller has also been a victim to a terrible offensive line in Miami. The Dolphins had the worst run blocking efficiency in 2015 according to Pro Football Focus. Houston’s line sharply contrasts Miami with the 11th overall ranking going into 2016.

The stars are aligning for a career year for Lamar Miller, and he will execute on this opportunity.

Rookie Devontae Booker finishes the year as a top 15 Running Back:

Coming out of college, Devontae Booker was my favorite back aside from Ezekiel Elliott. Booker reminds me of an Alfred Morris type back, but faster and agiler.  The former Utah State athlete ran for 3,173 yards during his two-year college career.

He is currently behind CJ Anderson of the Broncos depth chart, but given Anderson’s spotty and inconsistent history, Booker will have opportunities to secure the starting job.

Broncos’ coach Gary Kubiak constantly produces productive seasons from his running backs. Throughout his time in Houston, he made Arian Foster, an undrafted free agent, into one of the best backs of the decade. In 2014 Justin Forsett thrived for the first time in his career under Kubiak.

Like Lamar Miller, Devontae Booker is a talented back in a favorable scheme and situation and has the chance to break out.

Amari Cooper will be a top 5 Wide Receiver:

In the past ten years, seven wide receivers have been selected with a top-five pick. In their rookie seasons, none of those players have recorded more yardage than Amari Cooper did.

Cooper had an up and down debut season, posting three games with over 15 points, but also five games with under five points. According to NFL.com’s Matt Harmon, he excelled when facing man coverage (success rate 7.7 % higher than average), while running go routes (10.9 % higher than average), and with comeback routes (9.9 % higher than average).

Many rookies struggle against press coverage in their rookie years but Cooper had an above average rate against the press. The only area where he did not achieve great success was with drops. The former Alabama star couldn’t reel in ten passes, which was the second worse amount in the NFL.

I expect Cooper to have vast improvements with his hands and against press coverage in 2016. He was on pace for over 1,300 yards, eight touchdowns, and 175.4 fantasy points. Had he finished the season with that amount, he would have ranked just behind AJ Green as the ninth overall WR.

If Derek Carr targets Cooper more often in the red zone, Cooper should be able to have a resurgence this year and finish as a top 5 fantasy commodity.


Analysis of the Draft’s Most Underrated Prospects

Over the coming weeks I’ll be doing draft coverage for goingfor2.com. I’ll be posting parts of the article on savoldfantasytalk, but the entire article will be on going on goingfor2!

In goingfor2’s article you’ll see an addition analysis of Chris Godwin, WR, Penn State and Lorenzo Jerome, S, St. Francis !


Budda Baker, FS, Washington

Measurables: 5’10” 195 lb

Combine Stats: 4.45 40 YD Dash, 15 reps Bench Press, 32.5 Vertical Jump, 115.0 Broad Jump, 6.76 3 Cone, 4.08 20 Yd Shuttle

Though it is a cliché, Budda Baker is a football guy through and through. Immediately after turning on his tape, he jumps off the screen as a competitor. Baker is a terrific athlete that is able to fluidly change direction and attack the ball. While in coverage, Baker is disciplined and is able to close on the ball in a flash. One of my favorite qualities in Baker is how instinctive he is. While you can improve one’s speed, hands, or tackling, instincts are something players are essentially born with.

In the run game, Baker is able to weave between WRs and TEs that attempt to block him. Baker takes good angles to the football and is a lock to bring down receivers and smaller RBs without giving up extra yardage. In the clip below, Baker quickly diagnoses a RB screen. After the pass is completed, Baker drives the RB back four yards using leverage and a strong lower half.

While Baker excelled at Washington, there are some aspects of his tape that are slightly worrisome.When facing bigger, stronger NFL players, Baker is a potential liability as a tackler. Baker is undersized, measuring in at just 5’10”. While his size hurts his stock, we have seen numerous small NFL safeties succeed such as Earl Thomas, and Bob Sanders.

Chris Godwin, WR, Penn State

See the rest here!! http://goingfor2.com/analysis-of-the-drafts-most-underrated-nfl-prospects/

Final Savold Fantasy Talk Offseason Rankings



  1. Cam Newton, CAR
  2. Aaron Rodgers, GB
  3. Russell Wilson, SEA
  4. Drew Brees, NO
  5. Andrew Luck, IND
  6. Tom Brady, NE
  7. Carson Palmer, ARI
  8. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT
  9. Eli Manning, NYG
  10. Derek Carr, OAK
  11. Matthew Stafford, DET
  12. Philip Rivers, SD
  13. Tyrod Taylor, BUF
  14. Andy Dalton, CIN
  15. Blake Bortles, JAX
  16. Marcus Mariota, TEN
  17. Kirk Cousins, WAS
  18. Jameis Winston, TB
  19. Jay Cutler, CHI
  20. Ryan Tannehill, MIA
  21. Matt Ryan, ATL
  22. Joe Flacco, BAL
  23. Robert Griffin III, CLE
  24. Brock Osweiler, HOU
  25. Dak Prescott, DAL



  1. Todd Gurley, STL
  2. Adrian Peterson, MIN
  3. Lamar Miller, HOU
  4. Le’Veon Bell, PIT
  5. Ezekiel Elliott, DAL
  6. David Johnson, ARI
  7. Doug Martin, TB
  8. Mark Ingram, NO
  9. Devonta Freeman, ATL
  10. Eddie Lacy, GB
  11. LeSean McCoy, BUF
  12. CJ Anderson, DEN
  13. Carlos Hyde, SF
  14. Carlos Hyde, SF
  15. Jamaal Charles, KC
  16. Thomas Rawls, SEA
  17. Latavius Murray, OAK
  18. Jeremy Hill, CIN
  19. Matt Forte, NYJ
  20. Ryan Matthews, PHI
  21. DeMarco Murray, TEN
  22. Melvin Gordon, SD
  23. Jeremy Langford, CHI
  24. Matt Jones, WAS
  25. Derrick Henry, TEN
  26. Duke Johnson, CLE
  27. Giovani Bernard, CIN
  28. Rashad Jennings, NYG
  29. Frank Gore, IND
  30. TJ Yeldon, JAX
  31. Chris Ivory, JAX
  32. Arian Foster, MIA
  33. Deangelo Williams, PIT
  34. Carlos Sims, TB
  35. Isaiah Crowell, CLE
  36. Danny Woodhead, SD
  37. Devontae Booker, DEN
  38. Kenneth Dixon, BAL
  39. Alfred Morris, DAL
  40. Legarrette Blount, NE
  41. Christine Michael, SEA
  42. Bilal Powell, NYJ
  43. Robert Kelly, WAS
  44. Theo Riddick, DET
  45. Deandre Washington, OAK
  46. Tevin Coleman, ATL
  47. Jay Ajayi, MIA
  48. James Starks, GB
  49. Darren Sproles, PHI



  1. Antonio Brown, PIT
  2. Odell Beckham Jr., NYG
  3. Julio Jones, ATL
  4. AJ Green, CIN
  5. DeAndre Hopkins, HOU
  6. Allen Robinson, JAX
  7. Brandon Marshall, NYJ
  8. Jordy Nelson, GB
  9. Amari Cooper. OAK
  10. Dez Bryant, DAL
  11. Keenan Allen, SD
  12. Sammy Watkins, BUF
  13. Mike Evans, TB
  14. Alshon Jeffery, CHI
  15. Brandin Cooks, NO
  16. TY Hilton, IND
  17. Jarvis Landry, MIA
  18. Eric Decker, NYJ
  19. Jeremy Maclin, KC
  20. Randall Cobb, GB
  21. Julian Edelman, NE
  22. Demaryius Thomas, DEN
  23. Kelvin Benjamin, CAR
  24. Doug Baldwin, SEA
  25. Golden Tate, DET
  26. DeSean Jackson, WAS
  27. DeVante Parker, MIA
  28. Emmanuel Sanders, DEN
  29. Jordan Matthews, PHI
  30. Donte Moncrief, IND
  31. Michael Floyd, ARI
  32. Kevin White, CHI
  33. Josh Gordon, CLE
  34. Sterling Shepard, NYG
  35. John Brown, ARI
  36. Michael Floyd, ARI
  37. Michael Crabtree, OAK
  38. Larry Fitzgerald, ARI
  39. Tyler Lockett, SEA
  40. Michael Thomas, NO
  41. Marvin Jones, DET
  42. Allen Hurns, JAX
  43. Corey Coleman, CLE
  44. Stefon Diggs, MIN
  45. Devin Funches, CAR
  46. Travis Benjamin, SD
  47. Tavon Austin, STL
  48. Kamar Aiken, BAL
  49. Chris Hogan, NE
  50. Steve Smith, BAL



  1. Rob Gronkowski, NE
  2. Jordan Reed, WAS
  3. Greg Olsen, CAR
  4. Delanie Walker, TEN
  5. Zach Ertz, PHI
  6. Travis Kelce, KC
  7. Coby Fleener, NO
  8. Tyler Eifert, CIN
  9. Antonio Gates, SD
  10. Gary Barnidge, CLE
  11. Eric Ebron, DET
  12. Martellus Bennett, NE
  13. Julius Thomas, JAX
  14. Jimmy Graham, SEA
  15. Zach Miller, CHI

Start/Sit Questions Week one Answered

I’ll be updating this post as the day progresses.

Who Should I start? Drew Brees or Kirk Cousins -Carter B.

This one is easy, Brees. He has more weapons this year with Michael Thomas and Fleener, and the Raiders D shouldn’t be a problem.

Zach Ertz or Gary Barnidge? -Zach R.

Zach Ertz. A rookie QB will target his TE more than usual, and Ertz was already the better option.

Pierre Garcon or Derrick Henry? – Riley F.

Garcon. The Titans coach said early this week that Murray was the lead back. Barring an injury to Murray, Garcon should see more snaps and touches/targets than Henry.

Is Kirk Cousins a QB1 this week? – Beau J.

Yes, he is. The Steelers defense is porous, and Cousins should excel this week.

Marvin Jones or Eric Decker? – Jack B.

Jones. The Lions are facing the 27th ranked passing defense, and Stafford has been praised throughout the preseason.

Eddie Lacy or Matt Forte? – Beau J.

Eddie Lacy easily. Lacy is the better back, and has a better match up.

Bennett or Barnidge?  – Beau J.

Bennett is going to take the role of Gronk today. That is all.

15 Sets of 5 2016 Fantasy Football Edition

To me, writing this article is like Christmas morning. I wait and wait and wait all off season (or year) just to jot down these easy to read, straight forward pieces of advice. But just like December 26th, once fantasy football season starts, a sense of nervousness and sadness sets in. Yes, now I get to play with all my new toys, or play all my new draft picks, but I also have to another 12 months for something new.

So here  is the much awaited 15 sets of 5.

5 Breakouts

  1. DeSean Jackson, WAS
  2. Keenan Allen, SD
  3. Zach Ertz, PHI
  4. Lamar Miller, MIA
  5. Derek Carr, OAK

5 Busts

  1. Andrew Luck, IND
  2. Jamaal Charles, KC
  3. Thomas Rawls, SEA
  4. Dez Bryant, DAL
  5. Jeremy Maclin, KC

5 Rookies

  1. Ezekiel Elliott, DAL
  2. Derrick Henry, TEN
  3. Michael Thomas, NO
  4. Sterling Shepard, NYG
  5. Devontae Booker, DEN

5 Rookie Sleepers

  1. Devontae Booker, DEN
  2. DeAndre Washington, OAK
  3. Robert Kelly, WAS
  4. Tajae Sharpe, TEN
  5. Josh Doctston, WAS

5 Sleepers

  1. Derrick Henry, TEN
  2. Melvin Gordon, SD
  3. Zach Ertz, PHI
  4. Jordan Matthews, PHI
  5. Desean Jackson, WAS

5 Loves

  1. Lamar Miller, HOU
  2. Amari Cooper, OAK
  3. Keenan Allen, SD
  4. Andy Dalton, CIN
  5. Derrick Henry, TEN

5 Hates

  1. Alshon Jeffery, CHI
  2. Andrew Luck, IND
  3. Thomas Rawls, SEA
  4. TY Hilton, IND
  5. Jonathan Stewart, CAR

5 Low-Risk Buys

  1. AJ Green, CIN
  2. Antonio Brown, PIT
  3. Aaron Rodgers, GB
  4. Greg Olsen, CAR
  5. Adrian Peterson, MIN

5 Dark Horse #1 Finishers

  1. AJ Green, CIN
  2. Lamar Miller, MIA
  3. Mark Ingram, NO
  4. Alshon Jeffery, CHI
  5. Marcus Mariota, TEN

5 High Risk-High Reward Finishers

  1. Alshon Jeffery, CHI
  2. Julian Edelman, NE
  3. Le’veon Bell, PIT
  4. Dez Bryant, DAL
  5. Jordan Reed, WAS

5 Late-Late Round Fliers

  1. Robert Griffin, CLE
  2. Alfred Morris, DAL
  3. Devontae Booker, DEN
  4. Tajae Sharpe, TEN
  5. Martellues Bennett, NE

5 Redskins Fantasy Options

  1. Jordan Reed, WAS
  2. DeSean Jackson, WAS
  3. Matt Jones, WAS
  4. Josh Doctston, WAS
  5. Robert Kelly, WAS

5 Most Needed Handcuffs

  1. DeAngelo Williams, PIT
  2. Charles Sims, TB
  3. James Starks, GB
  4. Spencer Ware, KC
  5. Giovanni Bernard, CIN

5 Underrated Fantasy Options

  1. Drew Brees, NO
  2. CJ Anderson, DEN
  3. Latavius Murray, OAK
  4. Antonio Gates, SD
  5. Brandin Cooks, NO

5 Must Add Waiver Wire Options

  1. Robert Kelly, WAS
  2. Tajae Sharpe, TEN
  3. Devontae Booker, DEN
  4. Kenneth Dixon, BAL
  5. Will Fuller, HOU

Teddy Bridgewater Rapid Reaction

At around 3pm ET today Vikings franchise QB Teddy Bridgewater suffered a serious non-contact knee injury. Many local sports reporters are especially  worried due Mike Zimmer, Minnesota’s head coach, immediately canceling practice after Bridgewater went down.

According to sources, reporters could “hear a pin drop” while trainers attended to the quarterback. Another ominous sign of a serious injury was that an Ambulance transported him to a local hospital.

As of 4:12 ET Teddy Bridgewater’s torn ACL was confirmed by multiple reporters. Prior to this news, the Vikings were a popular pick to go to the playoffs, and some even predicted a Superbowl run. Now a winning season seems to be the ceiling for Minnesota.

As for Adrian Peterson’s fantasy value, it stays in relatively the same area. Bridgewater was still only a game manager, so the 31-year old’s carries should not be affected much. In my opinion, fewer carries would actually INCREASE Peterson value. Peterson has the second most carries out of all running backs who have played eight years or less in the NFL. Since his record breaking 2012 season, the Oklahoma alum has posted three of the four lowest Pro Football Focus grades of his career. In line with those statistics, he has not run for over 4.5 YPC the past three years.

Laquon Treadwell and Stefon Diggs both suffered a decrease in value. Though Bridgewater never was the primary offensive player on the team, his accuracy and vision will be missed. Diggs’ value is especially  hampered due to how much he excelled on short and intermediate routes last year with Bridgewater.

Fantasy reasoning aside, I think we can all hope for a quick and successful recovery for Bridgewater.



John Schooner’s Fantasy Football Rankings 2.0



  1. Cam Newton, CAR
  2. Aaron Rodgers, GB
  3. Russell Wilson, SEA
  4. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT
  5. Andrew Luck, IND
  6. Carson Palmer, ARI
  7. Tom Brady, NE
  8. Drew Brees, NO
  9. Philip Rivers, SD
  10. Andy Dalton, CIN
  11. Tony Romo, DAL
  12. Kirk Cousins, WAS
  13. Derek Carr, OAK
  14. Matthew Stafford, DET
  15. Blake Bortles, JAX
  16. Eli Manning, NYG
  17. Ryan Tannehill, MIA
  18. Brock Osweiler, HOU
  19. Jameis Winston, TB
  20. Matt Ryan, ATL

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