Savold’s 2016 Fantasy Football Rankings 2.0

These rankings will be updated weekly as the summer progresses.

QB

  1. Cam Newton, CAR
  2. Aaron Rodgers, GB
  3. Russell Wilson, SEA
  4. Drew Brees, NO
  5. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT
  6. Carson Palmer, ARI
  7. Tom Brady, NE
  8. Andrew Luck, IND
  9. Eli Manning, NYG
  10. Derek Carr, OAK
  11. Matthew Stafford, DET
  12. Philip Rivers, SD
  13. Tony Romo, DAL
  14. Andy Dalton, CIN
  15. Blake Bortles, JAX
  16. Marcus Mariota, TEN
  17. Tyrod Taylor, BUF
  18. Kirk Cousins, WAS
  19. Jameis Winston, TB
  20. Jay Cutler, CHI
  21. Matt Ryan, ATL
  22. Ryan Tannehill, MIA
  23. Joe Flacco, BAL
  24. Brock Osweiler, HOU
  25. Teddy Bridgewater, MIN

 

 

RB Continue reading

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Redskins Preseason Game 1: What to Watch For

After a seven-month hiatus, the Redskins will return to the football field against the Atlanta Falcons. Though Washington won the division for the first time since 2012 last year, there are multiple questions regarding their roster going into 2016. Many doubt whether the team can make the playoffs again, as they were the only playoff team without a win against a team with a winning record. In Washington’s defense, the opponents they faced with a winning record (Jets, Patriots, Panthers) had a combined 22-1 combined record at that point in their respective seasons.
Ahead of their first preseason game, I have compiled a list of the most important players, and position battles to watch for tonight.
Su’a Cravens’ Positional Fit: Scot Mccloughan drafted Su’a Cravens, aLB/S hybrid, with the Skins’ second round pick this Spring. Cravens was one of the more intriguing players in Washington’s draft class due to his athletic ability and “tweener”. Scouts argued about where Cravens would fit into an NFL defense, due to him playing both OLB and safety in college. Coach Jay Gruden counters those criticisms by calling Cravens a versatile playmaker, who can help in various aspects of his defense.
Cravens excelled in zone coverage at USC and has soft hands for a defensive player. He plays aggressive which will lead him to make plays as a rookie, but also might cause him to give up significant yardage as a rookie.
Gruden has said that he expects to play Cravens at a specific position for the beginning of his career, and tonight will be a great preview of how he’ll be used this year.

NCAA Football: Washington at Southern California

Rookie LB Su’a Cravens

Depth at OLB: Earlier in the offseason, Washington looked like it had one of the best OLB groups in the NFL. With veterans Ryan Kerrigan, (23 sacks over the past two seasons) and Junior Galette (22 sacks in his last two seasons) the position seemed set for 2016. Then everything changed a day before training camp when Galette tore his Achilles. Now with second-year player Preston Smith starting in place of Galette, the depth at OLB seems very thin.
Aside from Trent Murphy, no other backups have started a game in their careers. Houston Bates, who is listed as the third-string Sam linebacker, was a practice squad member for the Redskins last year, and only had four tackles in ten games. In his limited playing time, Bates recorded a 53.5 PFF grade which is in line with a “below replacement player” level.
Willie Jefferson is behind Ryan Kerrigan on the depth chart and has not played in a game since 2013 with San Diego.
As a best case scenario, Trent Murphy will be able to back up Smith even though Gruden referred to him as a defensive end until a week ago. Murphy has yet to live up to his early second round status but still has shown flashes of potential over his first two years.
Will Murphy, Bates, and Jefferson step up in place of the injured Galette? That question could be answered tonight.

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OLB Houston Bates

Washington’s Running Backs: After four productive years in DC, Alfred Morris left the team and signed on with the Dallas Cowboys. This transaction put the Redskins in a tough position, should they rely on Matt Jones, who struggled with fumbles on multiple occasions? Or should they look to the draft or free agency as a solution? Scot Mccloughan used a 7th round pick on Georgia alum Keith Marshall, who had success in college, but also suffered from multiple injuries. Marshall started the season as roster bubble player but has started to receive a decent amount of snaps with the first-team offense. Marshall is extremely talented, and if he can get some snaps tonight, he’ll be able to prove his worth as a starting NFL back.
On the other hand, Matt Jones played well in a few games last year. Though he averaged a putrid 3.4 YPC, he caught multiple screen passes for touchdowns in 2015. Many RBs struggled in their rookie season, and then improve in their second year. Even Le’Veon Bell had a 3.5 YPC his rookie year.
Can Jones make the jump? Will Keith Marshall carve out a starting role? Let’s find out tonight.
HTTR!

 

Fantasy Spotlight: Le’Veon Bell

#2 RB: Le’Veon Bell

There has not been a more dynamic starting running back over the past two years than Le’Veon Bell. Unlike fellow star RB Adrian Peterson, Bell is a threat as a receiver and consistently gets 3rd down snaps. In his last full season, Bell recorded 854 receiving yards (1st among RBs) and also finished second among RBs in targets (106). The Michigan State product also is the only back to have a YPC above 4.7 in both of the past two years.

Bell 1

Though the upside with Bell is almost endless, he does have his fair share of risks. In fact, he may post the most risk out of any first round fantasy option. He’s missed at least 3 games in two of his three years and has suffered three leg injuries over the past three seasons. Bell also has been suspended twice for drug violations, and he is one suspension away from a full season ban.

Fans have to one, temper their expectations for Bell and recognize his risks, but two, not completely write him off. Bell is far and away the best running back in the NFL (he received a 94.0 rating from PFF, seven points higher than the second-place finisher). If he stays healthy, he should finish as the #1 back in PPR and standard.

 

Todd Gurley Player Profile

#1 Todd Gurley, LA: Fans had mixed expectations for Gurley due to his torn ACL prior to his rookie season. After struggling in his NFL debut (six carries for nine yards) Gurley broke out against the sout Arizona defense and ran for 140 yards averaging 7.7 YPC. The Georgia alum finished the year as the fifth highest scoring running back, and posted 1,106 yards and 10 touchdowns. Continue reading

2016 Fantasy Football Running Back Tiers

Every year novice fantasy owners make the mistake of solely using fantasy rankings to draft players. You often hear them say, “Oh, I have to grab a top 20 running back! If I don’t I won’t have a RB2 level player!” In reality, the amount of running backs who obtain a starting grade varies year to year. If 20 different backs are a worthy RB1/2, fantasy would be much simpler.

What causes the inconsistency in their tiers? Everything. Whether it’s coaching changes, injury history, last years production, a talented back up, or age, it all plays into how they are ranked.

Tiers are a better way of looking at positional choices because they give a more accurate look at how much of a drop off you actually have if you were to wait another round before drafting a running back.

Tiers are broken down into ten groups. High-End RB1, Mid RB1, Low-End RB1, High-end RB2, RB2, Startable Flex, Low End Starting RBS, High-End Handcuff, and Hand-Cuff.

Though the difference between two players in rankings may be only one different, the drop off between a High-End RB2 and a normal RB2 is much more staunch.

Here are my running back tiers for 2016

Tier 1: Elite High-End RB1  (3)

Gurley 2

Sophomore RB Todd Gurley is one of the best fantasy options this year.

Le’Veon Bell, PIT

Todd Gurley, STL

Adrian Peterson, MIN

Tier 2: RB1 (4)

Lamar Miller, MIA

Ezekiel Elliott, DAL

David Johnson, ARI

Doug Martin, TB

Tier 3: Low-End RB1 (3)  Continue reading

Redskins All-Decade Team: Offense

In the past ten years, Redskins fans have endured countless hardships. While the Eagles, Giants and Cowboys have each won the division three times, Washington has claimed the title just twice. While teams such as the Patriots have only had two starting quarterbacks in the past fifteen years, Washington has had nine quarterbacks in the past ten years.

Since owner Dan Snyder bought the team in 1999, Washington football has been synonymous with failure, whether on the field, or off. Atrocious signings such as the 100$ million contract Albert Haynesworth signed in 2012, or Adam Archuleta’s 30$ contract in 2006. A lack of production in the NFL draft consistently hampered the production coming from Redskins’ rookies. Washington selected six players in the first round during 2005-2015, ranking 30th in the NFL. General manager Bruce Allen is infamous for his 2012 trade in which he dealt three first round picks in order to acquire quarterback Robert Griffin.

Though the Redskins have been a franchise full of failure for a long time, the Scot Mccloughan Era may have finally brought hope to the nation’s capital. After two strong drafts, and many modest free agent signings, Washington may be in position to repeat as division champs for the first time in over thirty years. 

QB: Kirk Cousins (2012-2016) 25 GS 65.2 CMP% 7196 yds 47-30 TD/INT 91.3 Rating

NFL: Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles

Kirk Cousins leads the All-Decade team.  Credit: Jeffrey G. Pittenger-USA TODAY Sports

Surprisingly enough,  Captain Kirk has posted the best statistics out of all Redskins’ quarterbacks. He struggled early on in his career with accuracy, but posted the highest completion percentage in the NFL in 2015.

RB: Clinton Portis (2004-2010) 84 G 6824 YDS 4.1 YPA 81 YPG 46 TDS 1340 Rec YDs 1x Pro Bowl

The Broncos traded Portis to Washington in 2004 and the exuberant RB was the face of the franchise for the following six years. Alfred Morris had a better YPC over his four-year tenure with the Skins, but he did not challenge Portis in any other statistic.

    
FB: Mike Sellers (2004-2011) 120 G 46 GS 150 Rush YDS 821 Rec YDS 15 TDS

Sometimes overlooked due to his position, Mike Sellers was a consistent commodity for numerous different QBs and coaches over his eight years in DC.

WR: Santana Moss (2005-2014) 146 G  581 Rec 7867 YDs 47 TDs 1x Pro Bowl

       Pierre Garcon (2012-2015) 58 G  297 Rec 3500 Yards 18 TDs
       Antwaan Randle El (2006-2009) 63 G 186 Rec 2202 Yards 8 TDS

JacksonGarcon

Pierre Garcon makes the team, while Desean Jackson is left off

Santana Moss delivers the best statistics of all Redskins’ players over the past decade. He played in the most games, reeled in the most catches, and had twice the  yards of any other wide out in the organization. Garcon has been a red-zone target in his four years for the Skins, and makes an impact whenever he is on the field.

TE: Chris Cooley (2004-2012) 117 G 669 Rec 4711 YDS 66 TDs 2x Pro Bowl

A fan favorite, Chris Cooley leads all offensive skill position players in Pro Bowl appearances.

LT: Chris Samuels (2000-2009) 141 GS 76 AV 6x Pro Bowl 7.6 AV/Y

LG: Kory Lichtensteiger (2010-2015)  72 GS

C: Casey Rabach (2005-2010) 95 GS

RG: Randy Thomas (2003-2009) 82 GS 1 Pro Bowl Alternate

RT: Trent Williams (2010-2015)   83 GS  4x Pro Bowl 55 AV 9.2 AV/YWilliams1

The duo of Trent Williams and Chris Samuels would probably be the best pair of tackles in the NFL, as they combine for 10 total Pro Bowls. On the other hand, the interior offensive line could be the weak link to the teams offense.

John Schooner’s Initial Fantasy Rankings

John Schooner’s 2016-2017 Fantasy Football Preseason Ranks

These will be updated as the offseason goes on.

AP

Adrian Peterson ranks 2nd for RBs

Quarterbacks

  1. Cam Newton, CAR
  2. Aaron Rodgers, GB
  3. Russell Wilson, SEA
  4. Tom Brady, NE
  5. Carson Palmer, ARI
  6. Andrew Luck, IND
  7. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT
  8. Drew Brees, NO
  9. Philip Rivers, SD
  10. Andy Dalton, CIN
  11. Kirk Cousins, WAS
  12. Tony Romo, DAL
  13. Derek Carr, OAK
  14. Blake Bortles, JAX
  15. Matthew Stafford, DET
  16. Eli Manning, NYG
  17. Ryan Tannehill, MIA
  18. Brock Osweiler, HOU
  19. Jameis Winston, TB
  20. Matt Ryan, ATL

 

Running Backs 

  1. Le’Veon Bell, PIT
  2. Adrian Peterson, MIN
  3. David Johnson, ARI
  4. Jamaal Charles, KC
  5. Todd Gurley, LA
  6. Lamar Miller, HOU
  7. Doug Martin, TB
  8. LeSean McCoy, BUF
  9. Ezekiel Elliott, DAL
  10. Thomas Rawls, SEA
  11. Devonta Freeman, ATL
  12. Mark Ingram, NO
  13. Jonathan Stewart, CAR
  14. Latavius Murray, OAK
  15. DeMarco Murray, TEN
  16. Eddie Lacy, GB
  17. Carlos Hyde, SF
  18. Matt Jones, WAS
  19.  Jeremy Langford, CHI
  20. Jay Ajayi, MIA
  21. Matt Forte, NYJ
  22. Jeremy Hill, CIN
  23. CJ Anderson, DEN
  24. Ryan Mathews, PHI
  25. Justin Forsett, BAL
  26.  Melvin Gordon, SD
  27. Dion Lewis, NE
  28. Giovani Bernard, CIN
  29. Ameer Abdullah, DET
  30. Rashad Jennings, NYG
  31. LeGarrette Blount, NE
  32. Isaiah Crowell, CLE
  33. TJ Yeldon, JAX
  34.  Danny Woodhead, SD
  35. Chris Ivory, JAX
  36. Jordan Howard, CHI
  37. Duke Johnson, CLE
  38. Kenyan Drake, MIA
  39. Charles Sims, TB
  40. Bilal Powell, NYJ

Wide Receivers 

NS_19CowboysGiants12.jpg

Dez Bryant comes in at 4th for WRs

  1. Antonio Brown, PIT
  2. Odell Beckham Jr, NYJ
  3. Julio Jones, ATL
  4. Dez Bryant, DAL
  5. Jordy Nelson, GB
  6. DeAndre Hopkins, HOU
  7. AJ Green, CIN
  8. Alshon Jeffery, CHI
  9. Allen Robinson, JAX
  10. Mike Evans, TB
  11. Sammy Watkins, BUF
  12. Brandon Marshall, NYJ
  13. Amari Cooper, OAK
  14. Julian Edelman, NE
  15. Demaryius Thomas, DEN
  16. Kelvin Benjamin, CAR
  17. Keenan Allen, SD
  18. Brandin Cooks, NO
  19. Jeremy Maclin, KC
  20. Jarvis Landry, MIA
  21. Doug Baldwin, SEA
  22. Eric Decker, NYJ
  23. Randall Cobb, GB
  24. Golden Tate, DET
  25. Michael Crabtree, OAK
  26. Emmanuel Sanders, DEN
  27. DeVante Parker, MIA
  28. John Brown, ARI
  29. Donte Moncrief, IND
  30. Michael Floyd, ARI
  31. Larry Fitzgerald, ARI
  32. Jordan Matthews, PHI
  33. DeSean Jackson, WAS
  34. Kevin White, CHI
  35. Corey Coleman, CLE
  36. Allen Hurns, JAX
  37. Marvin Jones, DET
  38. Dorial Green Beckham, TEN
  39. Michael Thomas, NO
  40. Tavon Austin, LA

 

Tight Ends 

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Rob Gronkowski is Savold Fantasy Talk’s consensus #1 TE

  1. Rob Gronkowski, NE
  2. Jordan Reed, WAS
  3. Greg Olsen, CAR
  4. Delanie Walker, TEN
  5. Tyler Eifert, CIN
  6. Travis Kelce, KC
  7. Gary Barnidge, CLE
  8. Ladarius Green, PIT
  9. Jimmy Graham, SEA
  10. Antonio Gates, SD
  11. Zach Ertz, PHI
  12. Jason Witten, DAL
  13. Coby Fleener, IND
  14. Austin Seferian Jenkins, TB
  15. Eric Ebron, DET